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Crown Green Handicap

Alan Davies

Team: Carr MillDivision: Division 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

689

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

13

Matches Played

5

Wins

8

Losses

38%

Win Rate

7.4

Avg Win Margin

9.5

Avg Loss Margin

4-2

Home Record

1-6

Away Record

10%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
13 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 4/16/2024

Only 13 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player3/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 13 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

12 Apr19 Jul9 Aug23 Aug30 May11 Jul16 Apr-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
38%
score-0.23→contribution-0.09
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.4
score-0.10→contribution-0.02
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.5
score-0.25→contribution-0.04
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
38%
score-0.23→contribution-0.02
Opponent Strength(10%)
739
score-0.54→contribution-0.05
Weighted Score-0.232
Sample Size Confidence
10%(13/41 matches)
Rating930 → shrunk 993→ adjusted 689
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

5W8L13 matches·38.5% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
St Mary's (Billinge) B2022Division 383537.5%
Carr Mill B2023–2024Division 3, Division 252340%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
4/16/2024Keith WalshH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
8/8/2023Malcolm HeyesH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
7/11/2023Peter JaundrillA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 2
6/6/2023Mark WakefieldH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
5/30/2023Jim RennisonA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
8/30/2022Ray IllingA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
8/23/2022Colin BurrowsA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
8/16/2022Terry JonesH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
8/9/2022Ken ByromA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
8/2/2022B MurphyH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 3
7/19/2022Andrew ValentineH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
5/10/2022Mike SmithA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
4/12/2022Ken EvansA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
WLLLW
Last 1040% win rate— steady
WLLLWLLWLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Keith Walsh101100%4/16/2024
Malcolm Heyes0110%8/8/2023
Peter Jaundrill0110%7/11/2023
Mark Wakefield0110%6/6/2023
Jim Rennison101100%5/30/2023
Ray Illing0110%8/30/2022
Colin Burrows0110%8/23/2022
Terry Jones101100%8/16/2022
Ken Byrom0110%8/9/2022
B Murphy101100%8/2/2022
Biggest Win
Keith Walsh (+12)4/16/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Peter Jaundrill (-17)7/11/2023
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
50% → 29%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
73913 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
5-838% win rate

By Division

Division 34-5 (44%)
Division 21-3 (25%)
Division 225%
1W·3L·4 played
Division 344.4%
4W·5L·9 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Apr 16, 2024

Seasons Active

3 (2.0 yr span)

Matches / Season

4.3 (13 total)

Seasons

202220232024